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Thu 12 Feb

The Point Live: It's on for the Liberals, protests planned for Melbourne in response to Isaac Herzog's planned visit

Amy Remeikis – Chief Political Analyst and Political Blogger

This blog is now closed.

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Key Posts

The Day's News

See you next sitting?

The leadership spill may be tomorrow, but we will put the blog to bed now until the next sitting in March, when there will more likely than not be a new Liberal leader.

If Sussan Ley loses the vote tomorrow and then resigns from the parliament, than Angus Taylor’s first test will be keeping the seat of Farrer – which in this climate is not guaranteed. But that seem issues for a future blog and right now, everyone deserves a bit of a break and some time touching grass.

Keep an eye on The Point where there will be updates on the political situation (and I will also be writing for The New Daily) and we will be back with The Point Live when parliament comes back after this two week break.

A very big thank you to everyone who came along for this journey this week – it has been a looooooonnnng year. And it’s only February!

Make sure you take some time to do something you love. And, as always, take care of you. Ax

Muslim community reels after police violence at protest

AAP

Muslim communities have been left feeling like punching bags after a state premier refused to apologise for a violent police response.

NSW Premier Chris Minns accepted his refusal could be antagonistic while providing steadfast backing of police who forcibly dispersed a group of people praying during a protest over the Israeli president’s official visit.

Police Commissioner Mal Lanyon earlier offered a qualified apology to Muslim groups, but defended the actions of officers as anger continues to rumble over violent policing that broke up the demonstration.

Vision of a group of Muslims being dragged away while performing sunset prayers beside Sydney Town Hall prompted a mass outcry.

Lebanese Muslim Association secretary Gamel Kheir said Mr Minns had rebuffed multiple attempts to engage since the protest, leaving the community feeling brushed aside and degraded.

“Surely there’s an acceptance there was overkill and there were religious sensitivities not taken into account,” he told AAP.

“(Mr Minns and Mr Lanyon) could have said ‘look, we did not mean any harm and if we did cause harm we apologise’, at least that’s a respectful way to get out of the predicament we’re in.”

The premier also stared down calls, including from within his own party, for an independent inquiry into policing at Monday’s protest because it might imply the state’s law enforcement watchdog was not fit for purpose.

Officers were seen beating, pushing and pepper-spraying people in Sydney, including medics, who said they were violently pushed while attempting to treat the injured.

Police who grabbed a group of Muslim men kneeling in prayer were following orders to disperse “a violent and aggressive crowd”, the police commissioner said.

“I have apologised for offence taken for interfering with that religious process,” Mr Lanyon told ABC radio.

Mr Minns conceded the Muslim community felt disconnected from society, particularly as a result of “hate, racism and bile” regularly experienced on Sydney’s streets, but defended police actions.

“I genuinely believe NSW Police, their leadership, their regular officers, would never, ever have disrupted a prayer service,” the premier said.

Mr Kheir said his community, which runs the nation’s largest mosque, was screaming for senior politicians to take a spike in Islamophobia triggered by the December 14 Bondi terror attack seriously.

Social media posts made by Muslim representative groups in recent days have been inundated with Islamophobic comments, including demands Sydney-born-and-raised leaders “go home”.

“There’s been zero contact and support from any form of politicians, and then the right side of politics has just taken us as punching bags,” Mr Kheir said.

Monday’s protest at Sydney Town Hall was organised by pro-Palestine groups to coincide with Israeli President Isaac Herzog’s visit to Australia.

The four-day trip was controversially declared a major event, unlocking further police powers to move on activists across large parts of central Sydney and the eastern suburbs.

After a rally was held at Sydney Town Hall, police thwarted attempts of some to march and formed human barricades across multiple exits.

Officers used pepper spray and rushed at the crowd, including those trying to disperse.

Sydney Lord Mayor Clover Moore backed calls from four Minns government MPs for an arm’s length review into police actions, adding her council was left out of the discussion about the major event declaration.

Street medic Omaim Al-Baghdadi earlier told AAP she was pushed and pulled by police despite wearing a vest identifying herself as medical personnel.

“I found people laying down that were also injured, so I tried to commence treatment there, but again police came and pushed us quite violently,” she said.

Protester Riley Brooke said she was applying first aid and had her hands up when she was yanked and thrown to the ground by police.

Five people were taken to hospital after the protest, while nine people were charged.

Door opened to further event-based protest bans

AAP

Future controversial high-level visits could be accompanied by beefed-up police powers to prevent protest after a judge explained his 11-hour decision about a contentious visit by the Israeli president.

Protesters on Monday lost a bid to overturn a designation that Isaac Herzog’s Australian visit was a “major event”. 

The declaration granted police bolstered powers to manage crowds, minimise the risk of confrontation, and ensure the safety of both the visiting dignitary and the public. Play

Those and separate anti-protest powers were later used to forcibly disperse a crowd of thousands that rallied outside Sydney Town Hall, as Mr Herzog held an event in nearby Pyrmont.

In his reasons published on Wednesday night, Supreme Court Justice Robertson Wright explained why he dismissed the arguments that the presidential visit was a political event and thus unable to be dubbed a “major event”.

Instead, he found Mr Herzog’s visit was properly classified as cultural, given its purpose of honouring victims of the Bondi terror attack and providing solace to Jewish Australians.

“While there may be political aspects to his visit, that is neither the dominant nor the defining nature of the visit,” Justice Wright wrote. 

That conclusion is not negated by rallies against Mr Herzog, which the judge said may instead strengthen the need for crowd management and safety measures conferred by the major event declaration. 

The protesters also contended that a fundamental and improper purpose of the declaration was to suppress protests against the Israeli president.

Mr Herzog, who was invited by the federal government to visit Australia in the aftermath of the Bondi terrorist attack, has faced scrutiny over 2023 comments which a UN inquiry found might reasonably have been interpreted as inciting genocide against Palestinians.

The president denies that claim and says his comments were taken out of context.

While the declaration might be improper if done to suppress public protest without regard to how it facilitated the conduct of the visit, that was not the case here, Justice Wright found.

Preventing protests by implementing reasonable safety or crowd control measures may be consistent with facilitating the conduct of the visit, Justice Wright found 

He also noted government leaders had tried to facilitate protest elsewhere, including through carve-outs for Hyde Park.

The first major decision on the 17-year-old legislation could be applied to future official visits by controversial figures.

Despite Monday’s decision, protesters proceeded with their Town Hall rally, attended by thousands.

It later erupted into chaos, with demonstrators – some trying to leave the area – being pepper-sprayed, punched and shoved by police trying to disperse the crowd.

NSW Premier Chris Minns has defended the actions of police in what he described as difficult circumstances. 

Michaelia Cash resigns from the front bench

I think you could say that the numbers are done now. Angus Taylor would have this sewn up.

Cash:

I have today tended my resignation as the Shadow Minister for Foreign Affairs.

Following the events of recent days I believe the matter of the Liberal Party Leadership needs to be brought to a head.

Therefore, I will be voting for a spill of the leadership when the party room next meets. This makes it impossible for me to remain in Shadow Cabinet.

I am not resigning as Leader of the Opposition in the Senate, a role bestowed upon me by the Senate party room.

I thank Sussan Ley for the opportunity she gave me to serve as Shadow Minister for Foreign Affairs.

Estimates: Treasury almost confirms PRRT is a dud tax

Matt Saunders
Senior Economist

In estimates yesterday Senator David Pocock asked Treasury’s Macroeconomic Deputy Secretary, Dr. Shane Johnson: “Would it be accurate to say the tax on offshore gas exports, PRRT, is still giving us less revenue than the tax on beer?”

The deputy secretary dutifully waded through the budget papers to reveal that in 2025‑26 taxes on beer are expected to be $2.7 billion, compared to only $1.5 billion from the PRRT. A resounding ‘yes’ to the senator’s question.

Senator Pocock followed up by asking: “How do we live in a country that is one of the biggest gas exporters in the world and we’re getting more tax from beer than the PRRT?”.

A great question indeed, and not just for the beer drinkers of Australia.

After a deathly long silence, the now nervous looking deputy secretary was saved by a suggestion that it was a political question for the minister on duty, Sen. Katy Gallagher.

She stepped up to try and save the day: “We’ve made changes to the PRRT that we got through the parliament, other areas of tax reform for us now are delivering on our election commitments….”. A well-rehearsed line suggesting the PRRT is now fixed.

But a look at the data on PRRT tax collections, before and after the policy changes, suggests quite the opposite.

As the data in the chart shows, when the PRRT changes were first announced in May 2023, that year turned out to be a record year for PRRT revenue.

Since the changes came into effect, PRRT revenue has fallen significantly. In the first year of operation of the ‘fixed’ PRRT revenue fell 50%, to only $1,144 million, and is expected to be even lower by 2028-29.

The data is crystal clear, the PRRT is a dud tax, and the look on the deputy secretary’s face suggests he well and truly knows it.

Are record property prices on the way (again)?

Angus Blackman
Executive producer, Podcast

On the back of ongoing tax concessions primarily benefitting the wealthiest and the government’s five per cent deposit scheme for first home buyers, Australia has just broken a new record for average home loan size.

On this episode of Dollars & Sense, Greg and Elinor discuss the persistent rumours of changes to the capital gains tax discount, why government spending isn’t to blame for the latest inflation increase, and the impact of the federal government’s five per cent deposit scheme on lending figures.

*Apologies to Angus Blackman for originally being credited as Angus Taylor. It’s been a long day.

Liberals on Angus Taylor

If you haven’t read Niki Savva’s book, Earthquake, which is the inside view of the Liberal’s worst every election campaign, you should. Everything she mentions in there will come up in the still to be seen electoral review, but it also includes Liberal party appraisals of some of the remaining big players, like Angus Taylor.

It includes this gem:

Dutton also thought Taylor was a terrible retail politician who produced policies that could not be sold or explained to the public.

and

One senior member of the campaign team described the shadow ministry as ‘terrible’ and Angus Taylor as incapable of putting together saleable policies, describing him as Malcolm Turnbull without the charisma

and

Moderates were highly antagonistic towards Taylor. At least two MPs declared they would leave the party if he was elected leader; another said he deserved to be relegated to the backbench; and others threatened to rip up their membership.

In Earthquake, Jane Hume “emphatically denies” she had contemplated running as Angus Taylor’s deputy in the May leadership spill after the 2025 election as it would be “weird” running from the senate (but she is running now. From the senate)

David Littleproud having a very normal one

Just a very normal day for the leader of the Nationals. (As captured by Mike Bowers)

A man interrupting? In a suit? Revolutionary.
Still interrupting? Fascinating
Oh you have a point? Indubitably.
What does it matter anyway? Just let them eat cake.

Sussan Ley’s final QT in the big chair?

It seems very likely.

Mike Bowers caught this shot just before she turned to leave.

Opposition Leader Sussan Ley during question time in the House of Representatives chamber of Parliament House, Canberra this morning. Photograph by Mike Bowers.

And another Liberal declares their hand

You can add James McGrath to the list of Liberals who have resigned from the shadow ministry and assistant ministry.

The LNP senator was the shadow minister for urban infrastructure and cities and special minister for state Don Farrell’s counterpart.

Uni staff under strain 

Alice Grundy
Research Manager

A new report out of Adelaide University finds that uni staff are under strain with 58% of respondents from ANU classed as “very high risk” in terms of psychological wellbeing. This is after the resignation of Vice Chancellor Genevieve Bell following months of redundancies and restructuring. 

But don’t worry, Bell is headed back to ANU as Professor in Cybernetics on a half-million dollar salary. 

The Adelaide University report comes from the institution that employed Deloitte to oversee the merger between the University of Adelaide and the University of South Australia, spending tens of millions on the contract

Seems like more business as usual for the university sector in 2026.

Anthony Albanese sticks the boot in one last time

The prime minister is wrapping up this question time, most likely Sussan Ley’s last as opposition leader, by pointing out the differences between the government and the Coalition:

As a Labor government when we come to Canberra here focus delivering for the communities that elected us, delivering the promises that we took to the Australian people when we were elected in May 2022 and re-elected with a majority in May 2025.

We know there is always more to do, more we can achieve together and Australians can be sure … together, that makes decisions after getting proper information and make that is what our focus is every time we opposite have shown that the focus is on each other.

What I watched last night was pretty extraordinary – a resignation and then no declaration of why he was resigning.

And certainly no policy alternatives being put forward.

And that of course was in terms of timing on the day that Isaac Herzog was visiting this parliament but the timing doesn’t seem to matter to those opposite.

On the national day of mourning for the victims of the anti-Semitic Bondi terrorist attack, the Coalition was splitting for the second time.

On the day of the funeral of the well respected across this Parliament member for Higgins, the members for Hume and Canning were caught plotting against their leader and the member for Hume been a part of all of this and today of the day of the Closing The Gap report we have a range of resignations from frontbench.

And tomorrow, tomorrow on the morning in which members of the Stolen Generation are here at 8 o’clock, at 9 0’clock, there will be a party room meeting to depose the leader.

And question time ends.

Labor MPs having fun on the socials

Chris Bowen is enjoying himself

Compare and contrast

Anthony Albanese is making a point (and it’s obviously been a bit of a decree, because his back bench and ministers are following suit) in showing a calm, considered government in response to the Coalition and it’s latest leadership mess. He’s using his serious voice and keeping his answers to policy.

Jason Clare is then sent in to do a dixer, where it is again the game of compare and contrast, pointing out what Angus Taylor has offered previously in terms of policy.

When we announced that we would cut student debt by 20% for three million Australians Liberal Party immediately opposed.

And even shadow treasurer put out a statement where remember he said this, there are no free lunches in proceeded to announce a policy of free lunches. But for bosses.

There was a promise. I am not making that up, that was the big vision – escargot for CEOs.

No wonder the Australian people chewed them up and obviously they learnt nothing because Julius Caesar had more support from his senators then what we have seen going on over there today.

Labor points to gender differences

Catherine King is taking a dixer on affirmative action in the Labor party – which is just continuing the strategy Labor has had in place since the Liberal party leadership woes started becoming too loud to ignore (you may remember Anthony Albanese defending Sussan Ley against an op-ed recently) and using it to compare and contrast Labor and the Liberals.

Polling shows the Liberals have not recovered with women voters. This will not help.

What an absolute pleasure it is to look at our backbench and our front bench.

Equity within the Labor party is a result of decades of purposeful work.

I know we are still one day away from Friday 13 so I will try not to spook those opposite, they are doing that to themselves just to mention affirmative action.

In 1994, the Labor party first introduced affirmative action for women. Over 30 years later the result of that decision is before you. 

A party and a government that is filled to the brim with talented young women contributing to our parliament and standing up for their communities.

Do you know why it is important to have women in the room making decisions?

Women in leadership positions? It is because of the difference it makes, the difference it makes to women, it means we can deliver not only here but out there, which is the most important thing we can do. 

Under this government we have made significant progress with a gender pay gap.

We have expanded paid parental leave and on January one we delivered three day universal childcare, we delivered pay increases in women dominated industry like aged care and early education.

Delivered a tax cut for every taxpayer, 90% of women are better off and we will further tax cuts this year. who was the shadow treasurer, in fact, who decided that those opposite would vote against tax cuts, particularly tax cuts for women.

The member for Hume is not for that at all. It is also the architects of the opposition’s return to work policy and is one of the chief opponents to affirmative action in the Liberal Party. I give you the smartest policy brain in the shadow cabinet and in the last nine months what we have seen his is persistent undermining of the Liberal Party’s first ever female leader from day one.

That is not my words, that is not my words. That is the words of your shadow Attorney-General and I could not agree more.

The persistent undermining from day one while the liberals engage in the spectacle that we see before us, Labor is getting on with work and we are working every day for the women of this country.

The view from Mike Bowers

The chamber is not getting any better

Barnaby Joyce

Everything is fine HA HA HA

The Shadow Minister for Energy and Emissions reduction Dan Tehan and Opposition Leader Sussan Ley before question time in the House of Representatives chamber of Parliament House, Canberra this morning. Photograph by Mike Bowers.

The watcher

Angus Taylor takes his backbench seat as Sussan Ley leads the Opposition during question time in the House of Representatives chamber of Parliament House, Canberra this morning. Thursday 12th February 2026. Photograph by Mike Bowers.

Hospitals should be about treating the sick, not a profit machine for foreign investors   

Hamdi Jama
Postdoctoral Research Fellow 

Imagine a neighbourhood café that exists to make great coffee. But, one day, a private investor buys it.  

They don’t buy the cafe to improve your cup of coffee or hire more baristas. They buy it because the land it sits on is valuable, and they think they can make a profit from renting it out to whomever might want to run a café in that location. That is exactly what has happened to Australia’s second-largest private hospital operator, Healthscope. 

In 2019, Brookfield, a Canadian private equity firm, bought all 38 Healthscope hospitals across Australia, and sold the land they on to  investors, who then leased it back to Healthscope. Now, the hospitals, who should have been focused on providing healthcare to Australians, have to worry about paying the rent to their land lord.  

By 2025, Healthscope was drowning in $1.6 billion in debt and entered receivership to save the 38 hospitals around Australia. All the while, they kept having to pay rent, which kept flowing offshore.  

Now, to get out of the conundrum, Healthscope wants to restructure as a not-for-profit business. But the foreign landlords who own the land the hospitals are on are refusing to negotiate rent concessions, even in the event that Healthscope becomes a not-for-profit. This is what happens when private ownership hollows out institutions. Healing people becomes secondary to making money.

For a café in this situation, the coffee might get worse because they might have to buy cheaper beans. But, for Helathscope, it could mean that hospitals – which, for better or for worse, Australians rely on for care – are forced to close.  

Will there be jobs losses from AI? Productivity Commission assumes no.

Matt Saunders
Senior Economist

The economic modellers at the Productivity Commission (PC) might be getting a little nervous about their prediction that AI will boost the economy by $116 billion as yet another company looks set to axe jobs in response to the rollout of AI.

According to the Guardian, Telstra will axe more than 200 jobs as it looks to deliver its AI roadmap more quickly with a joint venture with global tech consultancy, Accenture. The new report comes on the back of previous statements by Telstra CEO, Vicki Brady, that she expects its workforce in 2030 to be smaller than it currently is due to ‘AI efficiencies’.

What will be making the economic modellers at the PC particularly nervous is that their research into the economic impacts of AI assumed there would be zero job losses from AI.

In their words, they applied their best guess of the “productivity dividend from AI” to the “current levels of population, working hours and employment” to predict a $116 billion boost in GDP. That is, they assumed no changes at all, in working hours, employment levels, and employment patterns from the rollout of AI.

The more evidence that piles up that AI is changing the job market, the more their assumptions and economic predictions for AI look sillier.

To be fair, the PC devoted only half a page, in a 204-page report about AI, to estimating  the economic impacts, so we can’t expect forecasting miracles from such a small amount of work.

But by simply assuming away the very thing that everyone agrees AI will change, in one way or another, the prediction of a $116 billion boost to GDP and no job losses can be taken with a grain of salt the size of a 1970s mainframe computer.

NDIS fraud much smaller that Coalition and One Nation might want it to be

Luke Slawomirski
Senior Postdoctoral Research Fellow

This morning the NDIA was asked about fraud in the NDIS.

John Dardo, NDIA Deputy CEO, explained that ‘integrity leakage’ is the preferred term because fraud requires proving intent. NDIA estimates that ‘leakage’ amounts to between 6% and 10% of the scheme’s budget.

Liberal Senator Anne Ruston pressed Dardo to explain how much of the ‘leakage’ was from fraud.  To which Dardo said that fewer than 100 cases are currently being prepared for legal proceedings or in front of a court.

Senator Ruston was undeterred, claiming that there is a ‘widely-held belief in the community’ of high fraud levels within the NDIS. Senator Hanson then joined in, and it appeared that both wanted the fraud numbers to be higher. Senator Hanson recited a couple of anecdotes about alleged fraudulent activity within the scheme.

Evidence of widespread fraud would enable an attack on the government and provide an excuse to defund the NDIS.

Clearly there are, and always will be, integrity issues in a vast scheme such as the NDIS, but the evidence tendered in the Senate this morning suggests that the size of the problem is far smaller than some would wish it to be.

Be careful what you wish for on faster drug approvals

While we are forced to sit through another question and answer fight over the $275 energy promise from two elections ago, let’s take a look at some researsH

Luke Slawomirski
Senior Postdoctoral Research Fellow

This morning, the Senate Community Affairs Legislation Committee has been questioning the Department of Health, Disability and Ageing about approval processes for drugs and medical devices.

Senator Ruston enquired about the length of time it takes for new medicines to be approved for use and listed on the Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme (two separate processes), implying that Australian patients face unnecessary delays in accessing new drugs. This became a hot topic during the Coronavirus pandemic, when some complained about the speed of Covid vaccine approval. More recently, The American pharmaceutical lobby attacked the PBS for denying it access to the Australian market, simply because it carefully considers the risks and benefits of new products.

But there’s a good reason why drug approvals shouldn’t be rushed: it saves lives! Back in 2005, the  an anti-inflammatory drug called Vioxx was found to cause heart attacks and strokes – it was withdrawn from the PBS after being linked to the deaths of about 300 Australians. That’s bad enough but, in the USA, Vioxx’s approval was expedited and  an estimated 50,000 people died. Other examples of catastrophic outcomes when drugs are rushed into clinical use are too common.

The consequences of failing to make sure Australians only take medicines that are safe far outweigh the benefits of faster access. All available evidence suggests the TGA and PBAC have the balance right, however inconvenient that may be for the US pharmaceutical lobby.

Ted’s final question as deputy leader? (Spoiler: he’s forced to withdraw half of it.)

Shadow Treasurer, Ted O’Brien:

Australia’s debt is due to hit $1 trillion over coming months. The Treasurer has spent years dishonestly claiming others have hit this milestone, and yet, in truth is going to happen on his watch. Will the Treasurer confirm that for the very first time in Australia’s history, Australia’s debt will soon hit $1 trillion?

The speaker instructs Mr O’Brien to withdraw the part of the question which refers to the Treasurer’s “dishonesty”.
Treasurer, Jim Chalmers:

It was kind of kind of you to refer to him as the deputy leader, Mr. Speaker …

The opposition has a lot of nerve asking this government about debt. This government has worked very hard for three and a half years to get the Liberal debt down by $176 billion debt in the last year.

That will save the people of Australia $60 billion in interest costs. Mr. Speaker, they’ve got a lot of nerve. When we came to office, they had debt as a share of GDP at nearly 45% we’ve got it down to 37%.

Nationals’ Sam Birrell recycles the old $275 power bill question.

The Nationals don’t get many QT questions these days, so asking about Labor’s 2022 pledge on power bills (two elections ago) is a bit of a waste, even for a party which thinks the future is three years ago.

Member for Nicholls, Sam Birrell:

Does the Minister agree the Albanese government has broken its promise to reduce bills by $275?

Chris Bowen, Minister for Climate Change and Energy pulls out his one wood … tees it up and … says what he says every time he’s been asked this over the past three years.
Fore!

I don’t run the NACC

The Prime Minister slaps down Tim Wilson, who asks about the CFMEU:

Tim Wilson:

I refer to his minister’s refusal to answer questions yesterday and today about Jeffrey Watson’s report into the CFMEU, Labor cartel of corruption. Given the Prime Minister has refused to write to the National Anti-corruption Commission, can the Prime Minister explain what steps he has taken to satisfy himself that not a dollar from the Commonwealth has been misused?

Anthony Albanese:

I want to address the part of the question that was to NACC. It is independent. That is how it has been established. They can look at they want to look at and refer to whatever inquiries they want and they should be allowed to do so.

Crossbench question on housing in Warringah

The first crossbench question of the day goes to the Member for Warringah, independent Zali Steggall:

Warringah contains some of the most expensive land in the country, contributing to a shortage of crisis accommodation and social and affordable housing. The Government has announced plans to divest part of HMS Penguin in Warringah and intends to seek full market value, prompting concerns that the land will be sold to wealthy developers for luxury apartments and not address issues of affordable, social and affordable houses or crisis accommodation. Will the Minister take steps to ensure that this public asset is used for social benefit?

Treasurer, Jim Chalmers:

I will speak to the colleagues about the specific parcel of land that the Hon. Member refers to. I know that you have raised it with us in good faith and we will check it out.

And we begin on the CFMEU …

Opening question from the Leader of the Opposition, Sussan Ley:

I refer to the report on the CFMEU inquiry into corruption where found that taxpayer funds compromised and, I quote, “bribes were being paid here there and everywhere”. Will the Prime Minister write today to the National Anti-Corruption Commission seeking an urgent investigation into this serious matter, to ensure that Commonwealth taxpayer funds have not been misused, and that no Commonwealth official has been indicted?

Question is redirected to the Minister for Workplace Relations, Amanda Rishworth:

The Watson report is an important report that was commissioned by the administrator to help him in the work that he is involved in cleaning up the CFMEU. Of course, this report was detailed work that identified issues, clearly, going back from 2012, until the administrator actually took over. Mr (Administrator, Mark) Irving released a detailed statement in response to the report, he will refer the report to the AFP, Victoria Police, the Fair Work Commission and other relevant law enforcement agencies and regulators. Mr Irving has said that this had been released so authoritative that it can take whatever enforcement action they deem appropriate.

Question time begins

It is looking like the last question time with Sussan Ley in the big chair (and maybe in the parliament) and also quite possibly with Jim Chalmers getting to square off against Ted O’Brien – as we reported a little while ago, Tim Wilson is being looked at for shadow treasurer in a Taylor shadow cabinet.

So, enjoy this.

Glenn Connley will take you through the first bit – I will see you soon.

The view from Mike Bowers

Let’s take a look at how Mike has seen the chamber today:

Barnaby seems cranky he’s being left out of the latest Coalition leadership squabble:

Barnaby Joyce

Current Liberal leader Sussan Ley

Opposition Leader Sussan Ley gives her reply to the Closing the Gap statement made by PM Albanese earlier, in the House of Representatives chamber of Parliament House, Canberra this morning. Thursday 12th February 2026. Photograph by Mike Bowers.

Ted O’Brien and all his friends.

The Shadow Treasurer Ted O’Brien in the house of representatives chamber of Parliament House, Canberra this morning. Thursday 12th February 2026. Photograph by Mike Bowers.

The smartest policy mind in the shadow cabinet.

Angus Taylor on the backbench watches the Opposition Leader Sussan Ley give her reply to the Closing the Gap statement made by PM Albanese earlier in the House of Representatives chamber of Parliament House, Canberra this morning.Photograph by Mike Bowers.

Liberal party room meeting called for 9am Friday

Which is when Angus Taylor wanted the party room called. That can mean two things – Taylor has the numbers, or that Sussan Ley knows that even if she holds a meeting today, the leadership mess will likely continue until March when parliament resumes proper.

So tomorrow, at 9am, when all senators who are not already in Canberra will have had a chance to get to Canberra, the leadership will be decided.

From the phone calls and messages, it seems Jane Hume’s camp are confident she will have the numbers to topple Ted O’Brien as deputy.

Closing the Gap address, part 5

Albanese:

As a Labor Government, we know economic empowerment begins with education.
 
Early childhood.
 
Fully funding every government school.
 
And expanding horizons through university and TAFE.
 
The last four years prove that when those opportunities are in reach – Indigenous Australians will grab them with both hands.
 
In 2022, we promised to train 500 First Nations health workers.
 
More than 580 have enrolled so far – and 162 have already graduated.
 
And in the last three yearsover 40,000 Indigenous students have benefited from Free TAFE.
 
Now, we are taking that success on the road.
 
New Mobile TAFE utes and trailers will deliver training, on country.
 
So locals have the skills and qualifications to build new homes, connect new energy, secure clean water and deliver the health care their communities need.
 
Tomorrow, in the Great Hall, we will gather to commemorate the 18th anniversary of the National Apology to the Stolen Generations.
 
Sitting behind Prime Minister Rudd that day, I remember looking up to the gallery.
 
Seeing the tears and quiet pride on the faces of those who had fought so bravely and for so long to hear those words.   
 
The survivors who honoured us with their grace, by accepting the Apology in the spirit it was offered.
 
The Apology was an honest reckoning with our history.
 
A call to action for our future.
 
And a profound act of patriotism, true to the best of our values.
 
Mr Speaker
 
By global standards, our 125 years of Federation makes us an old democracy.
 
In the full sweep of Australian history, it is the blink of an eye.
 
Today, we celebrate that truth as a source of national pride – and we are all enriched by it.
 
Because every time we open our minds to the wisdom and strength of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people, every time we break down barriers of racism, or disadvantage, every time we broaden the circle of Australian opportunity and deepen the meaning of the fair go – we are all stronger for it.

Our nation is better and more united for it.
 
That is the determination and the optimism we bring to this partnership.
 
Together, we will succeed.

ENDS

Closing the Gap address, part 4

Albanese:

The primary responsibility for law enforcement and detention rests with State and Territory Governments – and they have every right to put the safety of their communities first.
 
No-one is making excuses for crime.
 
But we cannot ignore its causes.
 
That is why our Government is investing in prevention, not just punishment – particularly for young people.
 
Because we know justice reinvestment works.
 
When communities are empowered to take responsibility, to provide structure and support and put young people back on the right track.
 
The individual rates of re-offending drop – and the crime rate falls too.
 
Communities are safer, families are safer.
 
No-one should grow up imagining that prison is a rite of passage.
 
And as a society, our definition of justice must be measured by more than the capacity of our jails.
 
Mr Speaker
 
Our government’s approach to Closing the Gap begins with the building blocks of a good life.
 
And it is driven by economic empowerment.
 
Breaking down barriers to wealth creation.
 
Nourishing aspiration and rewarding hard work.
 
The self-determination that flows from financial security, from having a stake in the economy.
 
This is less about what government can do with Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people.
 
It is about the success Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people are achieving for themselves.
 
Because we do not need to create a new culture of innovation or aspiration among Indigenous Australians.
 
That culture is over 65,000 years old.
 
In energy and construction, tourism and fashion, hospitality and technology, Indigenous Businesses are winning awards – and creating jobs.
 
Indeed, they are between 40 and 100 times more likely to employ Indigenous Australians.
 
We are boosting the financing capacity of Indigenous Business Australia – backing more entrepreneurs to get their great ideas off the ground.
 
And in that spirit, we are working to ensure communities can unlock the wealth of their land.
 
We are on track to achieve the two Closing the Gap targets for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples’ access to their land and waters.
 
And we want land to be a basis for prosperity and economic sovereignty, not a barrier to it.
 
This is why we are investing $75 million to reform Prescribed Bodies Corporate and Native Title Organisations and empower them as economic decision-makers.
 
Dealing direct with government investment vehicles like the Northern Australia Infrastructure Fund.
 
And private capital, particularly in the resources and clean energy sector – securing new projects and creating new jobs.
 
Our Government values the security and opportunity that a good job provides – and we respect the dignity of work.
 
That is why we promised to abolish the failed CDP – and we have. 
 
Our Remote Jobs and Economic Development program has already supported over 1,500 new jobs.
 
Today I announce that by 2027 we will double that number.
 
And by 2030 we will double it again.
 
Six thousand new jobs – paying real wages and bringing new pride and purpose to people’s lives.
 
That goes together with the 900 new jobs created through expanding Indigenous Rangers.
 
A program that draws on the wisdom of a thousand generations to preserve our environment for the future.

Closing the Gap address, part 3

Albanese:
 
Closing the Gap is a national test, a generational task, a moral imperative.
 
But it is one we measure in these tangible outcomes.
 
That is why listen to communities.
 
Invest in co-design.
 
Trust in the Coalition of Peaks, led with such passion by Pat Turner AM – represented here today by Catherine Liddle and Scott Wilson.
 
And partner with Aboriginal Community Controlled Organisations.
 
We built on that on Tuesday this week, when Minister McCarthy and Minister Plibersek launched Our Ways, Strong WaysOur Voices.
 
The first standalone plan to end violence against Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander women and children.
 
Mr Speaker
 
We are now 5 years away from most of the target deadlines.
 
We are clear about where there is more to do.
 
We must also guard against talk of failure.
 
Because talk of failure dismisses the aspirations and achievements of Indigenous Australians.
 
It ignores the leaders and communities who are changing lives.
 
Failure is a word for those who have stopped trying – or given up listening.
 
I make this clear today: I am not contemplating failure.
 
Our Government is not contemplating failure.
 
We are determined to succeed. 
 
The Closing the Gap targets are a measure of our national progress.
 
And there is real progress.
 
Four targets are on track.

And based on progress to date, later this year we expect confirmation that the target of 95 per cent of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children enrolled in preschool has been achieved.

A further six targets are improving.
 
And that number is based on the national average.
 
Different states and territories are performing better on different outcomes, even in some of the more challenging areas.
 
New South Wales, the Northern Territory and ACT are improving when it comes to children in out of home care.
 
While Western Australia, Victoria and South Australia have made significant progress in reducing youth detention.
 
However, there are 4 areas where progress is stalled, or going backwards.
 
The most urgent is suicide.
 
Suicide shatters families, it tears apart communities.
 
So often amidst the grief, loved ones return to the heartbreaking question: how did it come to this?
 
Compared to non-Indigenous Australians, Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people are two and a half times more likely to die by suicide.
 
As a matter of priority, our Government will deliver $13.9 million to boost the national support line, 13 YARN.
 
A crisis counselling service designed, led and delivered by Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people.
 
24 hours a day, 7 days a week, they offer:
 
“No shame, no judgement, a safe place to yarn.”
 
We understand the suicide rate among Indigenous Australians includes a number of deaths in custody.
 
Thirty-five years after that historic Royal Commission, the hard truth is that no government from either side of politics has done enough.
 

Closing the Gap address, part II

Albanese:

Since July 2022, more than 850 new homes have been built in remote communities.
 
This reduces overcrowding – a target where we are seeing improvement.
 
But we understand that a secure roof over your head is also a stable foundation: for family, school, study and work.
 
Building more homes creates local jobs and apprenticeships in construction.
 
It drives better health outcomes.
 
And it makes communities safer.
 
In health, we are upgrading over 100 services – from maternal health to mental health, from remote Australia to our cities.
 
Many of these clinics had not seen a dollar of new investment for decades.
 
Today, I announce we will provide a further $144 million to upgrade dozens more services.
 
And, as part of the historic hospital funding agreement we secured at National Cabinet this month, we will deliver a joint $450 million boost to Indigenous Health.
 
Health is an area where the Coalition of Peaks has worked for years to drive a change in government’s approach.
 
Now all levels of government will work together to see this funding deliver a change in outcomes.
 
This time last year, I outlined our plan to reduce the cost of 30 essential items in 76 community stores.
 
So household staples like flour, cereal, pasta, even nappies and toothpaste are tied to city prices. 
 
And – importantly – investing in supply chains as well, so these items are actually on the shelves in remote communities.
 
We have already expanded the success of that program to 113 stores across the Northern Territory, Queensland, South Australia and Western Australia.
 
Today, I announce we will guarantee the reduced price of these 30 essentials is available in all 225 remote stores around Australia.
 
We will also fund upgrades for storage in 75 stores to keep stock fresh when the wet season makes transport difficult.
 
We all know what it means to be able to put healthy food on the table.
 
The difference it makes for mums expecting a baby, for a child’s health and growth, even for their ability to concentrate at school.
 
And that same multiplier effect is true for water too.
 
As of today, 40 clean water projects are either underway – or complete.
 
Delivering for around 34,000 people in 110 communities.
 
For most Australians, drinkable water sounds like the most basic thing.
 
But it is everything.
 
It keeps communities together – and connected to their land.
 
It keeps schools open.
 
It means health clinics can perform dialysis, on country.
 

Closing the gap address

We don’t often put full speeches in here, but it is important to see how we are tracking on measures which are so crucial to ensuring Indigenous people are given the same chances and opportunities as white Australians.

So here is what the prime minister said in his latest Closing the Gap update to the house:

I acknowledge our outstanding Minister for Indigenous Australians, Senator McCarthy.
 
Together with First Nations Members and Senators, from across our Parliament.
 
We all join in welcoming members of the Stolen Generations and the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander leaders here in the Chamber today.
 
You enhance this place with your presence.
 
I know that since the alleged terrorist attack in Perth, many of you have been providing comfort to people grappling with shock and fear.
 
People imagining how much worse things could have been.
 
I want to reaffirm what I said here last week, on behalf of the Government and the people of Australia.  
 
We see you. We stand with you.
 
The danger of that alleged attack was real – and so was the racism and hatred behind it, motivated by a white supremacy ideology.
 
Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people have the right to gather and express their views, without fear of violence.
 
More than that, you have the right to a full and equal place in our nation and our future.  
 
Unburdened by discrimination or disadvantage.

Empowered by opportunity and security.
 
That is the test – and the purpose – of Closing the Gap.

Minister for Indigenous Australians Malarndiri McCarty and Dorinda Cox, with other Labor Senators watch the Prime Minister Anthony Albanese make his Closing the Gap statement in the House of Representatives chamber of Parliament House, Canberra this morning. Photograph by Mike Bowers.


 
Mr Speaker
 
As Prime Minister, I have the honour of presenting the Australian of the Year Awards.
 
The 2026 Local Hero is Frank Mitchell, a Whadjuk-Yued Noongar man, from Western Australia. 
 
In his acceptance speech, Frank reflected on a low point in his life: isolated in a small community, under pressure as a single dad and grieving the deaths of two close mates, when his uncle offered him a lifeline: a mature-age electrical apprenticeship.
 
Frank said:
 
I now understand that work and education are not just about income or career progression.
 
They are determinants of health and wellbeing.
 
Completing my electrical apprenticeship gave me pride, hope, and stability.
 
It gave me the foundation to provide for my family and to grow into a leader within my community.”

Today, Frank is a partner in four companies in the construction industry.
 
They have created 30 electrical apprenticeships for Indigenous Australians and a further 40 upskilling roles.
 
And awarded $11 million in work to other Aboriginal subcontractors.
 
Frank modestly says he is just one success story among many.
 
Yet his story tells us so much about the work of Closing the Gap.
 
First, it reminds us that everything is connected.
 
Your health and education, your home and your job – that shapes who you are as a parent, your place in your community, the goals you set and the choices you have.  
 
Second, Frank’s story proves that one lifeline, one moment when someone recognises your potential and backs it, can change everything.
 
Sometimes when we talk about Closing the Gap, we can be guilty of focusing on that first idea at the expense of the second.
 
The challenges facing us are significant, complex and connected, with causes that reach back generations.
 
But that does not render us powerless – it makes each act of change powerful.
 
It means progress towards one target, will drive improvement in others.
 

Breaking: Australians still hate Trump.

Greg Jericho

Last month I noted how the figures of Australian travelling overseas showed there was a big drop in numbers coinciding with Trump taking over .

Well, the figures for December are now out, and sorry, Donald, we still hate you.

In 2025, Australian travel to the USA was 3.1% lower than it was in 2024. Meanwhile overall travel by Australians overseas was up 8.2%

It gets worse – 32% fewer Australians travelled to the USA in 2025 than they did in the last year before the pandemic in 2019, meanwhile overall travel is 11% higher. SO it is not like we have stopped traveling, we have just stopped going to the USA.

A good example is the comparison between travel to North-West Europe and the USA.  Before the pandemic, it was basically equal, now around 400,000 more people go to that part of Europe than the USA.

And if we look at the month growth in travel, while travel to the rest of the world besides the USA is growing, in the past year it has been routinely falling:

Donald Trump has made the USA the place not to be seen.

On the Taylor list

OK, so on the resignations/Taylor list we have:

James Paterson

Jonno Duniam

Claire Chandler

Sarah Henderson

Jane Hume

Jess Collins

Matt O’Sullivan

Phil Thompson

Garth Hamilton

Alex Antic

Jacinta Nampijinpa Price

Ben Small

Did you know Sussan Ley was once a punk?

Still not sure who Sussan Ley is trying to talk to here, but we are once again getting the log cabin story:

Apiration sits at the heart of the Australian promise. If you work hard, play by the rules, do your best for your kids and give back to your community, you should be able to build a better life for your family. That belief was shaped by my own journey. I came to this country as a migrant, grew up in regional Australia, worked as a pilot, a cook and a roustabout, and carried those lessons with me into public life. They taught me that effort matters and that opportunity should never be out of reach. Today, too many Australians feel that promise slipping away. Families are working harder but falling behind. Our task is to fight for them. We will hold the Government to account for the pressures facing households, and we will offer a clear alternative that restores reward for effort. An Australia with lower personal income taxes, less red tape and strong communities. An Australia that is safe, confident and full of opportunity. That is the country I believe in and will always stand up for. For now, and for future generations.

She left out that she was once a punk, so you know she’s feeling the pressure.

Reminder: Australia’s right to protest is eroding

Jack Thrower
Senior Economist

While the latest Liberal leadership drama is pushing Monday’s horrific scenes off the news cycle, it’s important to remember that Australia has been cracking down on the right to protest for decades.

A 2024 report from the Human Rights Law Centre analysed every protest-related bill across Australia over the previous 20 years, and found the right to protest has been steadily eroded, particularly in New South Wales. The report noted:

The steady erosion of our right to peacefully gather on public spaces should concern all of us. Our ability to peacefully protest is fundamental to safeguarding democracy and for holding those in power accountable. When this right is eroded or limited in a way that’s not compatible with international human rights law and principles, it not only limits the ways that we can voice our grievances, but it also undermines the democratic checks and balances which are essential for a healthy society.

Last year, coalition of over 150 Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander, human rights, legal, disability, refugee, LGBTIQA+ and climate organisations submitted a report to the UN Human Rights Council on Australia’s human rights record (and failures). This noted Australia’s actions to increasingly crack down on protests:

66. Since 2020, six Australian jurisdictions have enacted laws restricting the right to peaceful assembly and freedom of expression, which create broad offences and impose disproportionately harsh penalties.

67. Australian police have misused crowd control weapons during protests, causing serious harm.

68. Universities have escalated efforts to suppress campus protests, particularly in solidarity with Palestine, through indoor protest bans, restrictions on banners and posters, and pre-approval requirements.

69. Protest notification regimes are increasingly being used as de facto authorisation systems, contrary to international law.

70. Australia must:

(a) repeal or amend anti-protest laws to ensure compliance with international obligations;

(b) prohibit the use of explosive devices and dangerous crowd control weapons and ban police tactics like kettling at protests; and

(c) bring notification regimes in line with its international obligations.

‘Angus is the smartest policy brain in the shadow cabinet’

Now, I know James Paterson is being very earnest here, but wow – talk about being damned by faint praise. Paterson says, in all seriousness, that “Angus is the smartest policy brain in the shadow cabinet”.

Angus Taylor who had a policy to increase taxes at the last election?

Angus Taylor who delayed emissions findings?

Angus Taylor whose office was somehow involved in sending false information to a journalist about Clover Moore’s council spending?

Got into a fight with Naomi Wolf over whether she was part of a Oxford ‘war on Christmas’ culture war Angus Taylor?

Fantastic, great move, well done Angus, Angus Taylor?

THAT is the smartest policy brain in the shadow cabinet?

This day keeps on delivering.

Meanwhile in estimates – you’re not allowed to know why a department secretary lost their job

Seems like this would be in the public interest?

The government is refusing to answer questions about why the Secretary was sacked"I don't think anyone…would appreciate the circumstances of their employment termination being discussed" She was paid $1m/year to unlawfully cut ppl's payments. You can't bullshit your way past this one, sorry

Jeremy Poxon (@jeremypoxon.bsky.social) 2026-02-12T00:41:03.978Z

Retail rip offs again – an average 41% markup.

Dave Richardson

Yesterday Senator Nick McKim was grilling Treasury on price gouging and asked why only price gouging by supermarkets is to be made illegal.

Supermarkets operate in the retail business but so do lots of other businesses. Retailers are important because they are the last to handle goods before the consumer buys them.

Every now and again we see retailers have large sales with up to 50% off, or even more. You might wonder how they do it.

A quick look at the Australian Bureau of Statistics input output tables provides the answer. You might think that is a funny place to look but one thing these tables do is give the gross value of the retail markup for all of the goods sold in Australia. When we compare those with the price before wholesale and retail markups we can calculate the retail markup as a percentage of the value of the goods to the retailer.

This table shows the 10 worst of the retail markups for different product groups.

So the average markup for footwear on top of what the producer gets and any wholesale costs is 172%. The top 5 are all in the textile, clothing and footwear industries. The figures here are annual averages which includes all those 50% off sales. We shudder to think what the markups might be outside the sales periods. 

Our calculations from the ABS figures suggest that the overall retail markup is 41% on goods purchased by consumers The margin imposed by the retail sector acts like a large private tax burden on consumers.

All up, retail markups on goods amount to 9.5% of household final consumption expenditure. And note that this does not include the implied retail markup on services like gas, water and electricity. In the main the ABS does not separate retail components for services.

Incidentally we can ignore “basic non-ferrous metal manufacturing” as most of that is sold to industry and just $31 million worth are purchased by households. 

Estimates: Is Bluey a cartoon dog or a tool of indoctrination? The Liberals are finding out

Skye Predavec
Researcher

The Liberals continue to be concerned that a cartoon depicting Bluey with a Palestinian flag is supposedly being used by teachers to “indoctrinate” children in NSW. This follows reporting in the Daily Telegraph that “beloved children’s character Bluey has been hijacked by activist teachers to spread pro-Palestinian propaganda in schools”.

I have received a significant amount of communication about the reports that the beloved cartoon character Bluey has been co‑opted in relation to — I don’t know what to call it aside from propaganda. I don’t like to use the term when I’m talking about classrooms allegedly, and this has been reported that there’s been a push by teachers for Palestine in New South Wales to use this as a guide in classrooms … Noting that the character of Bluey is wearing a keffiyeh, he’s wave a Palestinian flag, and he’s standing under a banner that says from the river to the sea, Palestine will be free”

The Department of Education informed Senator Kovacic that this is not official teaching material and is not being used in Australian schools.

For reference, this is the cartoon they’re concerned about:

ANZ profit up 75 per cent. Yes 75 per cent

Dave Richardson

We would not normally comment on unaudited quarterly updates from Australian banks but this was a doozie. The figure is for the December 2025 quarter (October to December) and compares with the average of the July and September quarters of 2025.

On that basis profit after tax increased from $1.1 billion to $1.9 billion.

The profit increase was mainly due to expenses which fell by a massive $0.8 billion from $3.6 billion to $2.8 billion. Under a heading “Reduce duplication and simplify the organisation” ANZ’s statement to the stock exchange said “More than 60% of 3,500 announced roles exited the bank by end-December 2025”. That seems to be a euphemism for getting rid of 3,500 staff, no doubt including many from the absorption of Suncorp Bank which the ANZ took over last year!

ANZ Chief Executive Officer Nuno Matos said: “This is the beginning of our five-year journey to become the best bank for customers and shareholders in Australia and New Zealand.” More profit may well be good for shareholders but customers(?). This result is a reminder of how much customers are being ripped off by the big four banks in particular.

This quarterly figure is measured on a cash basis which does not include changes in accrued staff leave, depreciation etc. So the final results that conform to statutory reporting requirements may well be different – but that does not detract from this quarter’s wow factor.

Socials battle getting lamer

Meanwhile, over in the Sussan Ley camp, there seems to be some idea that putting up more canva socials posts is the answer.

1 – the public doesn’t vote in leadership spills

2- the Liberals should already know what the policy and strategy is

3 – how is this fixing anything?

Estimates: Canavan v Bullock, pt II

Greg Jericho

Matt Canavan now turns to public spending and inflation.

He wants to know if the budget is in structural deficit. Bullock says that for Treasury to say, they don’t measure that.

He then wants to know if the RBA considers the structural position of the budget (this is a bit nonsensical to be honest) Bullock replies that the RBA takes into account public demand into its forecasts – this is a completely different thing, a budget could be in structural deficit but public demand’s contribution to economics growth could be negative.

Canavan asks if a structural deficit indicates government expenditure is expansionary at the moment? Bullock replies that “it depends on the direction it is going”. She admits that yes right now it is expansionary and then Canavan says it therefore must be putting upward pressure on interest rates.

Bullock smiles and says “we’ve been in this before. If public demand is increasing then its increasing demand in total.”

Canavan butts in saying :

I know why you don’t want to go there, but the problem is you get very defensive and I thought you’re independent so these are very simple things. So we’ve established there’s a structural deficit, we’ve established that it’s increasing, we’ve established that its expansionary. Expansionary fiscal policy puts upwards pressure on interest rates, does it not,”

Bullock replies (for the umpteenth time) “Depends on what happens with private demand.”

Canavan now gets frustrated, saying “No, no, but I’ve said ceteris paribus [all others things being equal] if private demand stays the same an expansionary fiscal policy will push up extra pressure on interest rates?”

Bullock says “that’s mathematically correct”

And that pretty much ends the debate.

Estimates: Canavan v Bullock

Matt Canavan is getting annoyed with the RBA.

He starts by asking about real wages and says that their data suggests that real wages are not going to rise much. Bullock says not to care too much about the wages prices data because that doesn’t include everything that is being paid. Which tbh I agree with Canavan on this – as I have shown repeatedly:

Canavan asks how the RBA can say people are doing ok, when there has been such a big drop in real wages.

Bullock wants instead to talk about real household disposable income, which actually has increased – because these take into account tax cuts and interest rates cuts/rises, and govt benefits:

Canavan then says “I think people are only going to get angrier in this country if they are being gaslit into thinking the economy is ok, when their lived experience is absolutely terrible right now”

Bullock breaks in very feistily to say “Senator I take exception to that comment” (Canavan retorts “As I have taken exception to saying things are ok”)

Bullock continues

I have said that there are certain aspects of the economy which are doing well and one of them is the labour market, which is a positive for people. Now I understand that some people are doing it tough. I do understand. I get letters and I read them. But that is not to say that you can’t recognise that there are some parts of the economy that are doing well. And the labour market I think has been a really positive thing for this country”

Canavan responds that he is talking about the comment that “the economy is ok”. And he, to be honest, makes a good point that the economy is about (in his view) the basic ability of people to provide for themselves.

Bullock responds that “you’re thinking ‘OK means it’s great’, when ‘ok’ means it’s ‘ok’”

Canavan then asks “if the labour market is so good, then why aren’t wages growing?”

Bullock says you’re looking at the wage price index, whereas the RBA are looking at a measure of what people are actually being paid (ie including overtime and promotions etc). And sure, she has a point, but cripes, the wage price index is not a small bit of data. It is essentially the CPI for wages. The RBA dismisses it far too readily in my opinion.

Estimates: Victoria has no agreed plan to fully fund public schools

Skye Predavec
Researcher

Up in estimates, Maria Kovacic is questioning the implementation of the Better and Fairer Schools Agreement. Currently, Australian public schools are underfunded by over $4 billion a year, but the agreement should put all states and territories on the path to fully funding public schools by 2034. Victoria became the last state to sign a bilateral agreement on how to reach that goal in December last year, but that agreement didn’t commit it to funding targets past 2026; Kovacic wants to know why.

The Department of Education explained, “With all these negotiations there’s two dimensions. One’s the reforms and the reforms were mostly settled. The second is the funding trajectory and that funding trajectory really is about at what point in time jurisdictions get to the required level of funding and what point in time the Australian government gets to its level of funding that we’ve offered. If the parties can’t agree on what those trajectories are, then those negotiations continue. So we got to the end of last year, we’ve signed a two year agreement and we will restart and through those discussions we anticipate in the next couple of months, we will reach agreement with Victoria which includes the funding trajectory to get them to their full and fair funding level of 100 percent.”

As noted by Kovacic, this means that, while Victoria has committed to the 2034 target, it has no agreement about how the funding will work to get there.

Glimmers of hope for changes on CGT discount

Matt Grudnoff

Rumours are swirling that the government will finally act on the capital gains tax (CGT) discount. Speculation is that the changes will be rolled out with the May budget.

The CGT discount reduces the amount of tax paid when someone sells an asset for more than they bought it for. It is one of the main drivers that has increased house prices and made housing so unaffordable.

We got more hints that changes might be coming from estimate hearings this week. The Finance Minister Katy Gallagher indicated that any changes would be confined to housing.

Jenny Wilkinson, the Treasury Secretary, effectively confirmed that they had done work for the government on potential changes to the discount. But she refused to say what those policy proposals were.

The best outcome would be to get rid of the CGT discount completely and tax capital gains in exactly the same way as other forms of income.

The Australia Institute has been explaining how the CGT discount has been driving up house prices for over a decade. Hopefully we will finally see some change and first home buyers will finally get some relief.

Estimates: RBA

Greg Jericho

Senator Nick McKim is now asking about housing lending. He notes that investor growth has been booming of late.

He is right

He asks why this is occurring. Bullock says low interest rates mostly.

McKim then wonders if things like the 5% deposit guarantee can affect this, and they admit that yes, this could cause them to get in first (which they did) and that also when these investors show up at an auction they are now are competing against more first-home buyers.

They don’t follow through saying that this will raise house prices, but it does,

As we noted yesterday the average size of home loans jumped in a big way in the December quarter after the introduction of the 5% guarantee.

You can read more about this in my Guardian column out today

NSW police offer qualified apology to Muslim groups after police violently broke up prayer

AAP

Police did not mean to cause offence to people praying peacefully when they were dispersed by force at a chaotic protest, the head of the force says.

NSW Police Commissioner Mal Lanyon offered a qualified apology to Muslim groups but defended the actions of his officers as anger grows over police tactics and powers used to break up a protest rally on Monday.

Officers were seen beating, pushing and pepper-spraying people in Sydney, including medics, who said they were violently pushed while attempting to treat the injured.

Vision of a group of Muslims being disrupted while performing sunset prayers beside Sydney Town Hall prompted mass outcry.

“The police that had been confronted were moving forward to disperse everyone,” Mr Lanyon told ABC radio on Thursday.

“This was not targeting any religion. I have apologised for an offence taken for interfering with that religious process, but it needs to be taken in context that we were moving a violent and aggressive crowd.”

The powers that paved the way for the crackdown will be challenged in parliament after the protest against Israeli President Isaac Herzog’s Australian visit.

Laws rushed through parliament after the Bondi terror attack allowed police to make a declaration that prevents people from seeking authorisation for rallies in key areas, leaving participants vulnerable to arrest for marching through the streets or obstructing traffic.

As a result, Monday’s protest was a static gathering.

Mr Herzog’s visit was also controversially declared a “major event”, a designation protest organisers unsuccessfully challenged in court, unlocking further police powers to move on activists.

When the event concluded, demonstrators – some of whom only wanted to leave – could not move as police tried to stop the whole group from marching.

Officers soon began unleashing pepper spray and rushing at the crowd.

Street medic Omaim Al-Baghdadi was wearing a vest identifying herself as medical personnel when police arrived.

“We were trying to explain that we were doing treatments, but that didn’t really register, so we got pushed and pulled,” she told AAP.

“At the planter boxes, I found people laying down that were also injured, so I tried to commence treatment there, but again police came and pushed us quite violently.”

That night, she treated other medics who had been caught in police tear gas while coughing up her own lungs.

Riley Brooke initially attended the event as a protester and was in the middle of applying first aid before attracting the attention of police.

“I was fully backed against the wall with my hands up and one hand on a water bottle, I think saying, ‘I’m just flushing eyes out, I’m not in the protest anymore, I’m just doing first aid’,” they said.

“One yanked me and threw me, and I fell flat down on the ground.”

Premier Chris Minns has repeatedly defended the police actions but is facing calls from within his government for an independent inquiry into the handling of the protest.

Four Labor MPs have called on their leader to approve a review of the circumstances leading up to the clashes, held at arm’s length from police.

Laws enabling protest crackdowns and the decision to not allow a court challenge to the laws until the end of the month should be probed, protest attendee and Labor MP Stephen Lawrence said.

Five people were taken to hospital after the protest and 27 arrested, with nine facing charges.

Crossbench tries to put limits on ASIO powers, but rebuffed

There was a division in the house over this bill, which expands ASIO’s powers:

Amends the: Australian Security Intelligence Organisation Act 1979 to: make the Australian Security Intelligence Organisation’s compulsory questioning powers framework permanent; expand the scope of adult questioning warrants; amend the eligibility and termination provisions for prescribed authorities; impose additional reporting requirements to ensure that the Attorney-General is made aware of any relevant information regarding the conduct of questioning under a compulsory questioning warrant; require that post-charge questioning occur only before a prescribed authority who is a retired judge; and Intelligence Services Act 2001 to enable a further review of the framework by the Parliamentary Joint Committee on Intelligence and Security

The crossbench attempted to amend it to include protections for minors under questioning and limit the timing of the powers, but were lone votes in that chamber

The Teals and Greens sit together during a division on an amendment to the ASIO bill in the house of representatives chamber of Parliament House, Canberra this morning. Thursday 12th February 2026. Photograph by Mike Bowers.

Poor Tim

Tim Wilson is feeling a bit of relevancy deprivation syndrome it seems.

Mike Bowers caught this:

Tim Wilson in the house of representatives chamber of Parliament House, Canberra this morning. Thursday 12th February 2026. Photograph by Mike Bowers.

Blokes being blokey.

Just a bunch of blokes, being blokey, talking about blokey things.

Liberal MP’s Andrew Wallace, Garth Hamilton, Andrew Hastie and Phillip Thompson during a division in the house of representatives chamber of Parliament House, Canberra this morning. Thursday 12th February 2026. Photograph by Mike Bowers.
Angus Taylor and Colin Boyce during a division in the house of representatives chamber of Parliament House, Canberra this morning. Thursday 12th February 2026. Photograph by Mike Bowers.

Angus Taylor announces official leadership tilt

Angus Taylor has used his social media to say he will be running for the leadership:

Our country is in trouble. The Labor government has failed and the Liberal Party has lost its I am running to be the leader of the Liberal Party because I believe Australia is worth fighting for. I believe that we need strong and decisive leadership to give Australians clarity and confidence to provide a vision for the future.

We must start by holding this failing Labor government to account for their total mismanagement of our country. The problem is that Australians are facing. I am dedicated to serving you, the Australian people, giving you a strong alternative, that re- enlivens the I’m committing myself to the of restoring our party, so that it can be the party that Australians expect and deserve. Because we are running out of time and Australia worth fighting for.

Anthony Albanese pays tribute to Jon Kudelka

Soon after parliament opened this morning, Anthony Albanese paid tribute to one of Australia’s treasures – Jon Kudelka, who was taken from his family, and all of us too soon.

“When Jon Kudelka died earlier this week, Australia lost one of its great cartoonists and artists and Tasmania lost one of it’s favourite sons. He could skewer his targets with wit and precision, but when he turned his eye to the beauty of his home state, he celebrated it with joy, with a style that was entirely his. The outpouring of grief for him in the days since his death is an indication of the special place he held in so many Australian hearts. I extend my sincere condolences to his wife Maggie, his children Kay and Oskar and to his friends. May Jon Kudelka rest in peace.

Estimates: Jane Hume tries to push Bullock on inflation cause

Michele Bullock is asked by Jane Hume who is likely on the phone at the same time about becoming Deputy Leader of the Liberal Party, about fiscal policy (ie govt spending). She says she does not think it is the RBA’s role to tell the government what to do.

Hume wants to get Bullock to admit govt spending caused inflation.

Bullock says aggregate demand is in their view is bigger than supply, and both public and private demand contribute to aggregate demand, but if you look at the impacts, private demand is doing all the work and public demand is not the driver.

This all great really confusing for people so think of it this way: 4 people are pushing a car on a road, 3 are the private sector, 1 is public sector, sometimes the public demand needs to push extra hard because one of the private sector blokes is feeling a bit crook or has pulled a hamstring. The key thing though is not to push the car so fast that it breaks the speed limit. Sometimes – like during the mining boom, the private sector was juiced up on steroids, and yet the public sector was also pushing hard (because of all the tax cuts and middle-class welfare handed out by Howard).

In that instance the public sector demand was contribution to inflation.

In 2023-24 the private sector was not doing much pushing – so the public sector pretty much had to do all the work.

Right now, though the public sector is barely pushing at all –  it is mostly just steering the car to stop it going off the road. The private sector (in the RBA’s view) is pushing the car too hard and so it has thrown a couple weights in the car (though an interest rate rise) to make it harder to push.

Meanwhile back with the committee, Hume wants to verbal Bullock, and get her to say the government should cut spending, Bullock plays a straight bat knowing that Hume is after a headline.

Anthony Albanese on One Nation (again)

Anthony Albanese spoke to Adelaide radio 5AA earlier this morning (he’s been a fairly constant regular since he used to do a double-header with Christopher Pyne) and he was asked about One Nation (which is becoming a bit more of a thing in SA ahead of its coming state election)

Albanese:

Well, more important than just the politics, raw politics and that of course will always be taken into consideration by any politician, is the concern that I have is for the fabric of the nation. One Nation have played a divisive role in Australian politics over a long period of time.

They identify what they see as issues and don’t come up with solutions. Now, the fact that their vote has risen means that it needs to be taken seriously. What it signals to me is that there are many people who are frustrated with the existing system and that’s understandable given that there are real cost of living pressures there.

And that’s why we’re acting on cost of living, not just sitting back and identifying it, but coming up with practical ways to make a difference.

And in South Australia, one of the things that we’re doing very strongly is working with the Malinauskas Government on Australian jobs, whether it be the intervention that we’ve worked together in Whyalla, or whether it be particularly the AUKUS related jobs that are going to lead to significant high wage, high value jobs, particularly in manufacturing.

RBA before estimates

Greg Jericho
Chief Economist

Right now, Michele Bullock is appearing before the Senate Economics estimates committee.

She has recently appeared before the House Economics committee so there’s not going to be much new said.

She opens by talking about how inflation have been driven by private investment (data centres) and that household disposable income has grown of late and that is likely why household consumption surprised on the upside. She also notes that the Black Friday sales are also changing our spending habits, so it is tricky to work out if the boost in spending is just people searching for bargains or is it real and ongoing.

She then is asked about the world’s economy, and she points out the Trump tariffs have not been as bad as expected, but ricks remain because (without saying it explicitly) Trump is a loon so who knows?

On the numbers..

Phil Thompson also mentioned that NSW Liberal senator Jess Collins had also made the decision to resign, which is not a surprise to anyone who knows how Collins came to win the senate – she won the spot, over Hollie Hughes, largely because of Angus Taylor’s factional support.

So Hughes was one of Ley’s numbers in the original May vote, but Collins replaced her in the senate term change over in July. Collins was always one of Taylor’s numbers.

Could Pauline Hanson become prime minister?

Bill Browne
Director, Democracy & Accountability Program

There is an old joke in journalism that any newspaper headline that ends with a question mark can be answered by the word “No” (sometimes called Betteridge’s Law of Headlines).

It is very unlikely that Pauline Hanson will become Australia’s next prime minister. But answering why it is very unlikely can teach us a lot about how the Australian government works.

Over on The Nightly, Aimee Edwards has an explainer about how Australia chooses its prime ministers, why a senator (as Pauline Hanson is) has only once become PM and why Labor still looks very comfortable despite One Nation’s rise in the polls.

LNP MP thinks people at home have been thinking about the Liberal leadership

Here is Phil Thompson on why he is supporting Angus Taylor, while also saying a thank you to Sussan Ley for seeing the ‘potential’ in him by putting him in the shadow ministry, but sorry, he doesn’t think she’s very good at her job. I mean, I don’t disagree, but he shouldn’t be THAT hard on himself.

He is also very proud of this line he came up with – see if you can guess which one.

I handed my resignation from the shadow ministry and gave a letter to call on an party-room meeting to resolve the leadership.

From the hallways of parliament to the kitchen table, people have been talking about a leadership spill.

…The Australian people have given us clear message – to listen to and work for them. That’s what we’re doing by bringing this on. It has been in turmoil, it has been disastrous, we have been in spiral.

And we need to get out of it. Angus Taylor has the ability to do that.

Sussan Ley is a good person, and I respect her, and I thank her for her seeing potential in me and being able to allow me to serve in the shadow ministry, however, if we want to be a credible opposition and we want next election, and we want to hold the government to account, and we want to do the most important thing – which is listen to the Australian people – we need a new leader to do that.

Closing the gap action anounced

Anthony Albanese will deliver the Closing the Gap update at midday, but here is the official government statement of measures being put in place:


In 2025, the Albanese Government focused on jobs and training, easing cost of living and increasing food security in remote communities, and improving housing, health and education outcomes.

In 2026, the Albanese Government is building on what is working and investing in key areas to improve Closing the Gap outcomes. We are:

  • Doubling the successful Remote Jobs and Economic Development Program from 3,000 to 6,000 new jobs with a $299 million investment. So far, around 1,500 jobs have been created, delivering the dignity of work with decent pay and conditions.
  • Expanding cost of living support for remote communities with a $27.4 million investment to lift the cap on the Low-Cost Essentials Subsidy Scheme. 113 stores have already signed up to the Scheme, which will now be available to all 225 remote stores around Australia, delivering cost of living relief for 30 essential grocery items.
  • Expanding the Store Efficiency and Resilience Package to 75 additional remote stores with a $32.7 million investment to keep stock fresh when the wet season and distance make transport difficult.
  • Delivering Our Ways – Strong Ways – Our Voices: National Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Plan to End Family, Domestic and Sexual Violence 2026 – 2036, with an immediate investment of $218.3 million. The first standalone plan to end violence against Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander women and children.
  • Reforming the health and hospital system to better meet the needs of First Nations people as part of the historic hospital funding agreement we secured at National Cabinet this month. This is a record $250 million Commonwealth investment and $200 million from the States and Territories.
  • Investing a further $144.1 million to continue to improve health infrastructure across Aboriginal Community Controlled Health Services (ACCHS), building on the over 100 projects already delivered or underway.
  • As a matter of priority, investing $13.9 million in 13YARN to extend hours and establish a text message service so more First Nations people can access culturally safe, crisis counselling.
  • Supporting the successful Birthing on Country program across Australia with a $44.4 million investment to provide culturally safe maternal care to 1,100 mothers and their babies annually.
  • Boosting the First Nations Health Worker Traineeship program with an additional $2.6 million.
  • Supporting Aboriginal Hostels Ltd with an investment of $48.3 million to continue to deliver critical short-term accommodation services.

These investments build on major commitments already underway, including a 10-year, $4 billion joint investment to halve overcrowding in remote Northern Territory communities, $600 million in dedicated First Nations housing funding through the Housing Australia Future Fund, expanded Indigenous Ranger and Junior Ranger programs, and targeted investments in education, justice reinvestment, health, water and digital connectivity.

More Liberal front benchers resign

LNP MP Phil Thompson has made the trek to Sussan Ley’s office to resign (no surprise, he has been holed up with Angus Taylor for days).

Sarah Henderson found a smile

I have never seen Sarah Henderson look this happy.

Mike Bowers captured Henderson leaving the ABC studios after declaring she was supporting Angus Taylor for the leadership and Jane Hume as the deputy leader.

Sarah Henderson throws her support behind Angus Taylor Photograph by Mike Bowers.
Never been happier to see the media. Photograph by Mike Bowers.
It’s conservative Christmas! Photograph by Mike Bowers.
Just too much excitement to contain. Photograph by Mike Bowers.

And so it begins

Here is how Claire Chandler announced her resignation:

Let’s take a look at Farrer votes

Let’s take a look at Sussan Ley’s seat of Farrer. Ley had to be saved against a pre-selection challenge, not once but twice by Alex Hawke and his NSW Liberal faction, after facing some strong opposition from her branch. That didn’t make things easier, but before 2025, Ley held the seat with a 16.4% margin. If she loses this coming leadership challenge, and indications are she will, then you can almost bet on her retiring from politics and sparking a by-election as a bit of get-square with Angus Taylor and those who moved against her. And she will most likely do that because it will be very difficult for the Liberals or Nationals to hold that seat.

Why?

At the 2025 election, she experienced a 8.9% swing against her. The independent candidate, Michelle Milthorpe finished second and now, Ley’s margin against her is down to 6.2%.

This doesn’t mean Milthrope will run again, although we hear that there have been ‘very promising’ community meetings where Milthorpe has featured. If Ley loses the leadership and resigns, it is not a given that the Liberals would retain the seat. (And that will also leave them with about five women in the lower house – another blow to the Liberals who can’t seem to find a way to get women to vote for them. Funny that)

For those wondering, One Nation has polled at about 6-7% at the election in Farrer, but given its surge in regional and rural seats, you would have to think that vote would increase as well – and preferences are not necessarily going to break a Liberal or Nationals candidates’ way.

Tl;dr – Ley will most likely create a by-election here (and she’ll do it when it will most hurt Taylor’s new leadership) and the Coalition will not only fight itself between whether it’s a Liberal or Nationals seat, they’ll also be fighting a surging One Nation and community independent) Fun times ahead!

In the least surprising news today, Sarah Henderson is backing Angus Taylor

In news that will shock absolutely no one, Sarah Henderson is backing Angus Taylor. She wants Jane Hume to run for deputy.

Tasmanian conservative Claire Chandler has resigned from the front bench and you’ll see more of that today as Taylor’s allies line up.

Asked if Sussan Ley was ‘done’ Henderson replied:

I think she is, I think we’re going in the wrong direction. We need a credible set of policies, we need to show that can fight for the Australian people, hold this terrible government to account every single day and that why I am hoping that Angus Taylor will be our the next couple of days. It is very difficult time for the Liberal Party.

This is not easy to change leader but at a primary vote of 18%, would wipe out most members in the House of Representatives and we owe it to the Australian people to be a credible opposition to fight hard every single day and under Angus Taylor and his leadership, we can do that.

Lols

Kos Samaras job is to look at polling and research for the major parties. So, you know….

Is there a middle candidate, a la Scott Morrison 2018?

For those of you who are able to not pay attention, in 2018 Peter Dutton challenged Malcolm Turnbull for the Liberal prime ministership (you may remember the ‘he’s not a monster’ phase) and in response to all the non-stop leaks and speculation, Turnbull forced Dutton to front up and challenge him, by effectively calling on the spill himself.

Dutton didn’t have the numbers, but it was also revealed that Turnbull had lost just shy of half the party room. That then set the stage for another contest, without Turnbull, who saw the writing on the wall and removed himself. Julie Bishop was knocked out early after her supporters went to Scott Morrison and in a contest between Dutton and Morrison, Morrison won. He came up the middle as it were.

Can this happen here? Never say never, and Ted O’Brien and his staff are doing all they can to try and make it seem like Super Ted is a viable third candidate. And look, stranger things have happened. But O’Brien doesn’t have a strong supporter base himself – so it would have to be a scenario of literally no one else. O’Brien is seen as a more likable Tim Wilson, if such a thing exists, and while Wilson likes to have his name thrown into the mix, there is nothing to suggest he has anywhere near the levels of support needed to be an actual contender.

So it is unlikely there will be a third candidate (Andrew Hastie seems happy for the mess to play out, but you never know with the Liberal party) but don’t rule it out. Stranger things have happened.

Taylor challenge ‘undercooked, unprepared’ claims Ley supporter

Andrew Wallace doesn’t really want to get into any of the gender issues around the Liberals maybe ditching their first woman leader after only nine months, despite the interviewer trying twice. He just says its a bad look for any Liberal leader to be challenged like this.

He also doesn’t think Angus Taylor has the numbers:

I think this leadership challenge – if it ends up being that challenge – if it ends up being that – has been undercooked. I think it’s been unprepared or ill-prepared. I think Sussan has the numbers. I think that the majority of the party room believe that Sussan hasn’t been given a fair go, and they want to given a fair go, and they want to give her that opportunity to succeed. And I am definitely one of those people.

Ley’s supporters start making their case

Sussan Ley’s supporters have been out early this morning. Shadow attorney-general Andrew Wallace (it’s ok if you have never heard of him before) wandered into the parliament house ABC studios this morning to speak about why he will be supporting Ley if a spill is called:

I think she has done a very good job in difficult circumstances. This is off the back of two straight election defeats, and the last one of which, unfortunately, was pretty significant. Being the Opposition Leader in federal politics is the toughest job of them of all, especially coming off those two defeats.

Look, with the two splits with the Nationals and the worst attack on Australia’s soil from a terrorist perspective, there’s been a lot going on, and I quite honestly believe that Sussan hasn’t been afforded a reasonable opportunity to succeed, and I want to back and make sure that she does so that we can continue to take the fight up to Labor.

The thing is…the Coalition is going backwards under her leadership – where she has made the decisions which included how she handled the Bondi terror attack. And the vote went backwards. So while she hasn’t had a lot of fresh air, she’s also been responsible for creating a lot of the fog.

Indigenous health services to be upgraded

AAP has some more on the Closing the Gap target update, which will be reported to the parliament a little later this morning:

Indigenous health services will be upgraded across the country with promises from the prime minister that failure to address disparity with non-Indigenous Australians is not an option.

Anthony Albanese will use his annual closing the gap speech on Thursday to announce a $144 million boost to Indigenous health to upgrade more than 100 services in cities and regional areas.

The prime minister will argue addressing heath outcomes is critical in improving multiple closing the gap outcomes.

“Many of these clinics had not seen a dollar of new investment for decades,” he will say.

“All levels of government will work together to see this funding deliver a change in outcomes.”

Mr Albanese will also announce plans to reduce prices on essential items at all remote grocery stores in Indigenous communities, following a successful trial.

Prices on 30 items like flour, cereal and toothpaste would be in line with those in the city across 225 remote stores

“We all know what it means to be able to put healthy food on the table.The difference it makes for mums expecting a baby, for a child’s health and growth, even for their ability to concentrate at school,” the PM will say.

Mr Albanese’s address will reveal four of the closing the gap outcomes are on track to be met, with a further six targets being improved upon.

“Based on progress to date, later this year we expect confirmation that the target of 95 per cent of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children enrolled in preschool has been achieved,” he will say.

“There are four areas where progress is stalled, or going backwards.The most urgent is suicide. Suicide shatters families, it tears apart communities.”

The prime minister will also use the speech to warn against any pre-emptive declaration of failure in closing the gap in outcomes.

“Talk of failure dismisses the aspirations and achievements of Indigenous Australians. It ignores the leaders and communities who are changing lives,” he says.

“Failure is a word for those who have stopped trying – or given up listening.

“The challenges facing us are significant, complex and connected, with causes that reach back generations. But that does not render us powerless – it makes each act of change powerful.”

The closing the gap speech comes after the government announced the roll out of a 10-year plan on Tuesday to address domestic and family violence against Indigenous women and children.

13YARN 13 92 76

Lifeline 13 11 14

Only four of the 19 Closing the Gap targets on track

Anthony Albanese will deliver the latest Closing the Gap report card, and it is not great news. Only four of the 19 targets are on track, although he will report improvements in another six areas.

In four areas – including the rate of suicides, the number of children in out of home care, early childhood development and the number of adults incarcerated, Australia has gone backwards.

Albanese will deliver the update to parliament, where he will also address the Boorloo (Perth) terror attack, where a man has been charged with throwing a bomb into a crowd at an Invasion Day rally. It did not detonate, but was originally treated as an attempt to intimidate, before being escalated, following days of public pressure for further investigation, into a terror attack.

Albanese:

The danger of that alleged attack was real — and so was the racism and hatred behind it, motivated by a white supremacy ideology.

The many faces of Angus Taylor

You’ll be seeing a lot of these expressions over the coming days. (Mike Bowers captured the main Angus Taylor faces as he delivered his statement in the opposition courtyard)

I truly believe no one has said anything quite as important Angus. Photograph by Mike Bowers.
I’m speaking about something serious Angus. (Photo: Mike Bowers)
I am sure I am making a super important point Angus. Photograph by Mike Bowers.
Fantastic, great job, well done Angus (also the ‘pretty sure I nailed that’, Angus face) Photograph by Mike Bowers.

Government appoints special envoy on methanol deaths in Laos

After being caught on the hop by the news of a quiet trial in Laos for one of the people responsible over the methanol poisoning deaths of two Australians (and a very small fine as punishment) Penny Wong has announced a special envoy for the case:

Today I have appointed Mr Pablo Kang as Special Envoy to continue our efforts for progress in the investigations into the methanol poisoning deaths of Australian citizens Holly Bowles and Bianca Jones.

Since their November 2024 deaths, the Albanese Government has been clear to the Lao authorities of the need for transparency and accountability.

We have consistently conveyed our expectations that charges should reflect the seriousness of the tragedy that killed Holly, Bianca and four other foreign nationals.

I have asked Mr Kang to depart for Laos as soon as possible this week and explore all avenues to progress the case.

Mr Kang heads the Southeast Asia Regional and Mainland Division of the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade. He has previously served as Ambassador to Cambodia, Ambassador to the United Arab Emirates and High Commissioner to Vanuatu.

We understand the heartbreaking grief of the families of Holly and Bianca, which has been exacerbated by the delays and lack of transparency over the legal processes in Laos.

The Albanese Government will continue to press the Lao authorities on Holly and Bianca’s cases and will continue to support their families in their pursuit of justice.

Israeli president, who has been credibly accused of inciting the commission of genocide, to face more protests in Melbourne

AAP

The Israeli president is expected to face another day of protests as his controversial Australian visit nears an end.

Isaac Herzog will be closely guarded by police, who have been granted special search powers, as he arrives in Melbourne for a packed day of meetings with senior politicians and community leaders.

A planned protest in the city’s CBD is expected to attract more than 5000 people, leaving police on high alert.

The demonstration against Mr Herzog’s visit at Flinders Street Station is expected to remain peaceful, according to police who said there is no specific threat to the president.

“We want to be clear that there is no intelligence at this time to suggest that the event is the target of any specific threat,” Victoria Police Deputy Commissioner Bob Hill said.

Police have been granted special powers under terrorism legislation ahead of the visit, allowing officers to stop and search vehicles or people in public places, seize items and detain people as a preventative measure.

The powers apply to specific areas Mr Herzog will attend while in Melbourne.

Mr Herzog was invited to Australia by the federal government following the Bondi terror attack but has received a hostile reception from protesters and some politicians over Israel’s actions in Gaza.

At least nine people were charged, and 27 arrested after protesters were punched and pushed by police when an anti-Herzog rally turned violent in Sydney’s CBD on Monday.

Labor Friends of Palestine Victoria committee member Kate Shuttleworth called for a peaceful protest in Melbourne, urging the increased search powers to be used with caution.

“The scenes out of Sydney were deeply distressing. Rank-and-file Labor members were among those pushed, punched and subjected to force. We do not want to see that repeated in Victoria,” she said in a statement. 

“We are asking for calm, for restraint, and for the protection of democratic rights. Peaceful protest is not a threat to Victoria, it is part of who we are.”

The president’s movements have largely been kept under wraps during his visit.

Mr Herzog met with survivors of the Bondi attack in Sydney, before being hosted by Prime Minister Anthony Albanese in Canberra.

The four-day trip has been welcomed by members of Melbourne’s Jewish community which has been rocked by multiple anti-Semitic attacks, including the Adass Israel Synagogue firebombing in 2024.

“It’s a comfortable feeling,” Adass board member Abe Weiszberger told AAP. 

“Bondi is most probably when the volcano erupted. We’ve seen the volcano bubbling for two or three years.”

Mr Weiszberger said the visit was important for the community, saying it helped bring back a sense of belonging.

“It gives you some comfort in this sea of unknown and where we don’t know what’s the next move,” he said.

The Israeli president has described his four-day trip to Australia as very emotional, saying it was important to visit the community and express condolences.

The statement

For those of you who have a life and may have missed the statement last night (I am jealous, what does it feel like) this is what Angus Taylor put out about his resignation from the front bench:

Since last May, I have worked hard as a member of the leadership group and the Shadow Cabinet to help our team regroup and rebuild after the federal election. I have supported the leader and done everything I can to assist her in restoring the Party’s standing with the Australian people.

Despite these efforts, the Liberal Party’s position under Sussan Ley’s leadership has continued to deteriorate, leaving it weaker than at any time since its formation in 1944.

This is a confronting reality, but one we cannot ignore.

As a party that holds itself up as an alternative government, our failures have allowed the Albanese Government to avoid accountability for their mismanagement of our country. This is devastating for Australians who, under Labor, have become poorer, more divided and more disillusioned.

Under Anthony Albanese, Australians are going backwards. Our standard of living is declining, and this government is failing to protect the way of life Australians have worked so hard to build.

This cannot continue.

We must urgently restore Australians’ confidence in the Liberal Party by demonstrating strong leadership, clear direction, and the competence and conviction to courageously fight for our values with a clear vision for the future.

For these reasons, I have tendered my resignation from the Shadow Cabinet, effective immediately.

This is not a decision I take lightly. I remain committed to the Liberal Party, which has provided me the honour and privilege of serving it.

In the period ahead, I will be consulting closely with colleagues about the future of our Party, so it can once again be the party that Australians expect and deserve.

Grim data highlights Indigenous imprisonment disparity

AAP

The number of First Nations people in jail in NSW is higher than ever before, while those without convictions are soon expected to make up half of the prison population.

Though the number of people imprisoned has fallen since 2019, fresh data from the NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research has found the number of Indigenous Australians in custody has increased by 18.1 per cent.

With 4452 Aboriginal adults in jail as of December, First Nations people represent more than a third of the NSW prison population – the highest number and proportion on record – despite making up three per cent of the general population.

This means the incarceration rate for Indigenous Australians is 15 times higher than non-Indigenous people, with one in 25 Aboriginal men in NSW having lived in prison.

“The Aboriginal figures are shocking,” NSW BOCSAR executive director Jackie Fitzgerald told AAP.

Police have stepped up efforts to crack down on domestic violence, but because its prevalence in the community have not decreased, greater law enforcement efforts have had an outsized impact on Indigenous incarceration, she said.

The number of people imprisoned on remand, which means they have been charged but not convicted and are often awaiting trial, has reached the highest proportion ever recorded at 46 per cent of the adult prison population.

NSW’s remand population has grown by 20 per cent since December 2023 due in part to the aforementioned police efforts to step up domestic violence enforcement and changes to bail outcomes.

More people are coming before the courts, as legal action against domestic violence has grown by 50 per cent since 2019.

Meanwhile, those facing domestic violence charges are less likely to receive bail, with bail refusal rates rising from 17.5 per cent to 19.4 per cent between 2023 and 2025.

It is possible this has been influenced by high-profile stories of domestic violence offenders on bail that have gone on to murder current or former partners.

While Ms Fitzgerald acknowledged remand could help incapacitate those with serious charges, bail refusal rates have increased across the spectrum of offences.

If this trend continues, people on remand will account for half of the prison population in the next two years.

“It’s worth a conversation about whether the community is comfortable with incarcerating so many people who haven’t been through that court process,” Ms Fitzgerald said.

“We do also know that many of those people, even if convicted, won’t receive a custodial penalty.”

13YARN 13 92 76

Lifeline 13 11 14

1800 RESPECT (1800 737 732)

Men’s Referral Service 1300 766 491

T.A.C.O

This is just a bit of gossip, but the Fin have also reported it, so I am going to indulge – but yesterday, when everyone was still waiting to see whether Angus Taylor would challenge or not (he ended up doing it just after 7pm) Sussan Ley’s supporters started wandering around accusing Taylor of the T.A.C.O protocol – Taylor Always Chickens Out. It comes from Donald Trump skeptics, referring to Trump’s big threats on things like tariffs, that never come to fruition.

It’s still unclear if Taylor has the numbers. Not all the senators are in town, and Taylor relies on quite a few people in the senate to make up his bloc, so if a party room meeting was called today, instead of tomorrow like Taylor wants, then he wouldn’t necessarily have all his votes.

But even if one was called today, it wouldn’t end it. There would be another meeting called in March when parliament resumes and everyone was in town. So if it happens today, and he loses, don’t assume that’s the end of it.

Good morning

Hello and welcome to the last sitting day of the parliament – but it’s events outside the parliament which have sucked up all the oxygen.

Angus Taylor steps out into the opposition Leaders courtyard to announce his resignation from the front bench Photograph by Mike Bowers.

It is on in Lib spill land, although the when and hows are still being worked out. Angus Taylor has quit the shadow front bench, which was the first domino in the spill, but but he didn’t actually say he would challenge. That comes next. But today will mostly be a messy day of number counting and leaks and too-ing and fro-ing before the main event, which will most likely be held on Friday.

Also happening is Isaac Herzog, who has been credibly accused of inciting the commission of genocide, moving on to Melbourne, where he will be met with more protests. He met with senior politicians in Canberra yesterday, at both Government House and the parliament, and Elizabeth Watson-Brown and Sophie Scamps boycotted parliament in protest of Herzog being hosted in the Peoples’ House.

The government will get another day off from having to answer any major questions, as the opposition is way too busy focusing on itself.
I’ve had about three hours sleep, which makes for a grand total of 15 hours for this week, and the two coffees I have inhaled are yet to make a dent.

So it is going to be a slow, painful fall into the abyss today. Care to join me? Take a breath and we’ll jump in.


Read the previous day's news (Wed 11 Feb)

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