Ketan Joshi
Senior Research Associate

The latest emissions data confirms that Australia is very much not on track for its weak 2030 targets – even after you include dodgy land-use data and accept the major historical adjustments that have been applied to get Australia much closer to its target.

To the extent real emissions reductions have occurred, much of it is linked to reductions in industrial output, including a noticeable decrease in coal and gas exports, which is not systemic or policy-driven and could be reversed easily.

The new 2035 target of a 62% reduction requires even steeper cuts, starting today.

Labor needs to accelerate coal-power phase-out, kill the loopholes in vehicle standards and cut offsets from the Safeguard mechanism, all as basic ground-level starters to get back on track to enact real, deep, socially beneficial cuts to carbon pollution.

https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/BUb0r/1/

Emissions from their first quarter since elected onwards, for both Albanese and Morrison 

If you exclude land-use data, this is the first time Australia’s emissions are actually below 2005 levels. Hooray!!

There have been only very minor changes to the safeguard-related sectors since enacting the scheme…..if you squint really hard you can see a slight downwards trend that was in place prior to the scheme’s establishment 

An illustration of what a huge percentage of the progress to 43% so far comes entirely from revisions to data