Labor peeps are saying there are not the swings they expected to see against Fiona Phillips in Gilmore and “things aren’t looking great for Andrew Constance”.

That shouldn’t be a surprise to people who have been following this blog – Constance hasn’t been winning hearts and minds like they thought he would – there was the whole time he tried to come to senate, then his multiple attempts to enter federal politics, including moving seats, so there isn’t a lot of love for him when it comes to the vibe.

So don’t be surprised if Gilmore stays with Labor.