Liberal senator James Paterson isn’t feeling so confident it seems. His vibe is ready to concede.

What I can see is think Victoria will be very significant, obviously the Labor Brand is damaged in Victoria, Victorians feel very financially stressed in many seats, particular in the north-west of Melbourne in the south-east of Melbourne, they feel there is a severe infrastructure deficit and they have missed out on investment and there is the Crime hot spots all around Melbourne. That will be significant.

Equally significant will be regional New South Wales where we have some very good candidates running and I think some good contest.

And I Labor’s but a lot of focus in Queensland, noted that the Prime Minister had his most aggressive offensive visit program in Queensland, in those seats he was targeting and the campaigning in the rest of the country was more defensive.

… We will have a proper post-election review process we will very carefully consider the data and dispassionately analyse that, don’t want to get ahead of that process tonight before even Western strands are still voting, let alone meaningful votes are counted, one fact I think we can all acknowledge and recognise is the Donald Trump factor.

It was devastating in Canada for the Conservatives where the Canadian Conservative leader lost 20 points over the course of a few months. I think has been a factor here, just how big a factor it will determine in a few hours’ time but I think it has been significant.